Oddball-Incentive
0x2827c46d691b3298def91859b6eb55ab9b73d95e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$510.10
Total PnL
$-13.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
510 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$510.10
$1.12
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?
630 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 27-November 2?
491 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?
450 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$508.98Mar 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $110 in March?$229.08Mar 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in March?$229.54Mar 29, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?$0.64Mar 26, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$508.98Mar 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$509.49Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?$2.88Mar 24, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$610.68Mar 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$592.31Mar 13, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$550.00Dec 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$547.25Nov 19, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$630.00Nov 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$629.37Nov 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 27-November 2?$3.60Oct 31, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$439.12Oct 31, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$439.56Oct 31, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$129.09Oct 29, 14:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 29, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$159.00Oct 28, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $223.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".