Immaterial-Editing
0x2827cb1999976bece979109bcab7a9b7165ede1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$23.56
Total PnL
$-5.37
Realised
$-1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.26
$0.26
- NO
Will The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.06
$0.02
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.29
$0.29
- NO
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.61
$0.01
- NO
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$337.94Nov 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Nov 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$1.00Nov 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$344.80Nov 6, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$366.53Nov 6, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$368.60Nov 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$10.00Nov 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$3.00Nov 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.54Nov 6, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?$2.01Nov 6, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.09Nov 6, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$2.71Nov 6, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Gulf State by September 30?$1.03Nov 5, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?$1.05Nov 5, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Ackman endorse Eric Adams?$2.00Nov 5, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMZohran Mamdani arrested before September?$5.21Nov 5, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?$2.00Sep 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?$1.00Sep 22, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Gulf State by September 30?$1.00Sep 22, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.00Sep 22, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $58.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".