Negative-Treaty
0x28283d4a0f8ae54cbd08918ebc36542d764a8e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.34
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
211 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
83 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
56 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
39 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
35 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
27 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$7.21Feb 14, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$7.21Feb 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$33.64Feb 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.00Feb 14, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$7.49Feb 14, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$13.70Feb 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$15.44Feb 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$3.88Feb 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$8.96Feb 14, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$8.00Feb 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$8.00Feb 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$8.00Feb 14, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.