Wrong-Downturn
0x282bb2a4296179703d3e0d542f08f00177af0b03
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$21.00
Total PnL
$-241.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$21.00
$0.34
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. 76ers
1000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 26?
501 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
190 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 12?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 10?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$8.69Feb 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$11.98Feb 1, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 1?$555.55Feb 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 1?$1.20Feb 1, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 1?$555.00Feb 1, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMUp Only podcast released by January 31, 2026?$204.07Feb 1, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $300.30Feb 1, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by January 31, 2026?$153.30Jan 31, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $300.00Jan 31, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$201.00Jan 31, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$200.00Jan 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by January 31, 2026?$49.00Jan 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$499.50Jan 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$60.20Jan 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$557.76Jan 27, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?$551.36Jan 27, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?$1.80Jan 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?$550.00Jan 27, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 26?$551.65Jan 26, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 26?$0.95Jan 26, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $105.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.