Circular-Figure
0x282f221143ad66bf0fa1d10ae896614698ae0d26
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-12.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$1.00Jan 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?$1.00Jan 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?$1.00Jan 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$1.00Jan 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.02Jan 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.92Jan 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$3.00Jan 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.00Dec 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$4.00Dec 25, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Dec 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4.30Dec 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.00Dec 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.10Dec 21, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.40Dec 21, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Dec 21, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.40Dec 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.00Dec 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.50Dec 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.70Dec 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.21Dec 21, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.