Vivid-Residence
0x2839a9e14e4c9949ec7bd1b127a8d24f342b52f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$55.12
Total PnL
$-119.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
30 shares @ 41.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$30.12
$17.62
- YES
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$5.00
- YES
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
92 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$7.00Dec 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?$10.00Dec 4, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$15.00Dec 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$10.00Dec 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$12.50Dec 3, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$20.00Dec 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$16.42Dec 3, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?$26.79Dec 3, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lions (-3.5)$10.00Dec 2, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Dec 2, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Dec 2, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?$15.00Dec 2, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$24.92Dec 2, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$15.00Dec 2, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$15.00Dec 2, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.00Dec 2, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$20.00Dec 2, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$10.00Dec 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$20.00Dec 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$20.00Dec 2, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $14.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.