Corrupt-Ravioli
0x28444d46af9ba9e3ae9874d8db73cbef30a8015c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-741.28
Realised
$19.73
Win rate
95%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
283 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-31.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
174 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
171 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
171 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
157 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
154 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
148 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
137 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.29Apr 2, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.16Mar 31, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.76Mar 31, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.00Mar 31, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.01Mar 31, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.25Mar 31, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.00Mar 31, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
37 closed markets, 95% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.