Thoughtful-Neighbour
0x2846b97d6fa2132927bbf45bfd0e903598bed10d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-380.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trudeau resign Today?
1528 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
217 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-69.35
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
200 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
191 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$108.15Jun 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$101.80Jun 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$11.20Feb 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$65.99Feb 25, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.14Feb 25, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$50.00Feb 25, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$50.00Feb 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$116.67Feb 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$69.96Feb 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.01Sep 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$69.35Jul 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$100.00Feb 7, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trudeau resign Today?$100.00Jan 6, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trudeau resign Today?$100.00Jan 6, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $67.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.