Smooth-Mangle
0x284cfdde4ca09e25c8c07275901b423aea967b30
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
3611 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.98
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
1576 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
1434 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
888 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in June?
553 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?
416 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
259 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be above $5.00 in June?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$0.00Jun 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Kanye hacked?$5.00Aug 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in US?$5.00Aug 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$5.00Aug 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$5.00Aug 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$10.00Aug 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$10.00Aug 10, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $10.00Aug 10, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?$13.73Aug 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?$5.00Aug 8, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$3.00Jul 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 July hottest on record?$11.00Jul 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$1.00Jul 5, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.00Jul 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoon flee South Korea before July?$0.00Jul 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMiPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July? $0.00Jul 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?$0.00Jun 30, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34-38m?$0.00Jun 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?$2.50Jun 23, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $4.5-4.75 in June?$2.50Jun 23, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".