All-Fatigue
0x28563b16d772ff773555404334281e0e640cc8f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$455.24
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?
703 shares @ 42.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$397.10
$98.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 13?
119 shares @ 59.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$58.14
$-11.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?
1542 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-711.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7?
1400 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-138.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 11?
1226 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-663.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 15?
1208 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?
1019 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 26?
807 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-151.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?
694 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?
653 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-323.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$205.37Aug 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$10.31Aug 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$10.31Aug 13, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$2.88Aug 13, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$2.88Aug 13, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$2.88Aug 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$2.88Aug 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$42.26Aug 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$25.92Aug 13, 02:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.22Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.82Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$44.14Aug 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.00Aug 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.00Aug 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.50Aug 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.50Aug 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.50Aug 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$0.72Aug 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$15.00Aug 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?$0.48Aug 12, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $47.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.