Short-Carport
0x285f5e8afc3f34ff2acd5f093ae8767271e2fc85
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-13.09
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?
3349 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-165.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
750 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
594 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
492 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
425 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
417 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)$7.24Jun 3, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMLas Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks$6.75Jun 3, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5$9.80Jun 3, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$17.56Jun 3, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.16Jun 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.19Jun 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.81Jun 3, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5$18.50Jun 3, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET$9.25Jun 3, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET$9.80Jun 3, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$6.57Jun 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.08Jun 3, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$7.46Jun 3, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.04Jun 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET$2.53Jun 3, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.05Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-02?$5.05Jun 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)$5.04Jun 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET$5.17Jun 3, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.06Jun 3, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.