Internal-Ceremony
0x285f5eaa849cff0081faadb5575413592905bfae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.25
Realised
$0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pakistan military strike on India in May?
877 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.58
- YES
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will America be profitable any month in 2025?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
74 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.51
- YES
US recession in 2025?
38 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
37 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India in May?$34.58May 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico tariffs on China in effect before July?$34.59May 7, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEM54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?$0.00Apr 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? $24.21Apr 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?$4.68Apr 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?$19.53Apr 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?$16.08Apr 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TikTok be banned again before May?$16.08Apr 8, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be banned again before May?$2.06Apr 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?$4.00Apr 8, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be banned again before May?$15.00Apr 8, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMEnergy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?$0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?$0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMEnergy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?$0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?$0.00Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$21.06Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?$12.31Mar 28, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?$25.00Mar 28, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".