0x2865496bce79d65c9ff24befa9539c183dfc906a
0x2865496bce79d65c9ff24befa9539c183dfc906a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$0.58
Total PnL
$-11.17
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- YES
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ -0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.15
$0.20
- YES
Will Yair Rodriguez fight Alexander Volkanovski next?
21 shares @ -0.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.13
$0.19
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$0.15
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$0.15
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$0.15
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$0.15
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ -0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.04
$0.09
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ -0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.04
$0.09
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ -0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$0.06
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.03Mar 29, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?$0.06Mar 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00Mar 29, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?$0.02Mar 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?$0.01Mar 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?$0.01Mar 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?$0.06Mar 27, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on March 26?$0.07Mar 27, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 26?$0.08Mar 27, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on March 26?$0.01Mar 26, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.03Mar 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $80-$85 in March?$0.04Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $95-$100 in March?$0.01Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$105 in March?$0.00Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $85-$90 in March?$0.02Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in March?$0.00Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $105-$110 in March?$0.01Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$95 in March?$0.01Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $75-$80 in March?$0.30Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $110-$115 in March?$0.00Mar 26, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".