Arid-Cereal
0x28661ee8cf1d234831556ed9da59bd1a65ad1176
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-296.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?
911 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?
619 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-113.33
- YES
GPT ads by December 31?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
143 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-12-02?
77 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-33.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?$113.33Dec 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17.53Dec 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$32.84Dec 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$62.95Dec 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-12-02?$33.10Dec 2, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?$100.00Dec 2, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?$24.94Dec 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?$3.00Dec 2, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Dec 2, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.00Dec 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$30.00Dec 2, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?$20.00Dec 2, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$15.00Dec 2, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$50.00Dec 2, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $38.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.