Clear-Cut-Conclusion
0x286876b05393ffb9ed98d60819202dada1553e97
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-345.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
2513 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?
1250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Tonight Show on October 6?
1035 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
246 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
178 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$40.48May 6, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5$45.49May 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5$25.16May 5, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMAFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score$0.00Nov 7, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score$16.74Nov 5, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$2.00Nov 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$0.15Nov 4, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$17.92Nov 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.63Nov 4, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMSaints vs. Rams$39.73Nov 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaints vs. Rams$39.37Nov 2, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2?$10.00Nov 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-02?$5.00Nov 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?$5.00Nov 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-01?$31.51Nov 1, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.23Nov 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.