Regular-Shade
0x286b17c27bb51099fa51b2b0f961c9fa7afe2065
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-21.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joe Rogan be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Coinbase announce Goatseus Maximus as next listing?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
11 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Apr 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Apr 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$7.74Dec 31, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$2.13Nov 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$7.60Nov 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLObama arrested in 2025?$4.05Nov 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during announcement today?$2.00Oct 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama arrested in 2025?$4.00Oct 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Oct 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$30.17Oct 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$30.20Oct 16, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$13.58Oct 4, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$11.00Sep 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$0.78Sep 17, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".