Optimistic-Armchair
0x286de68991a27d112539fa6b9ef9794fccc3ab65
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-734.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
52500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
7543 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
2024 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
1040 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
976 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
876 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
627 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
619 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
597 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$26.57May 21, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.34May 21, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.29May 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.29May 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.34May 21, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.34May 21, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.34May 21, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.28May 21, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.26May 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.33May 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.25May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$26.63May 17, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$36.43May 17, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.28May 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.19May 17, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.19May 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$26.31May 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.18May 17, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.20May 17, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.22May 17, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".