Definite-Lycra
0x28724ea900aa601c6dc2149f9343d4875a143096
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.79
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.01
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.74
$-0.00
- MAGIC
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
20962 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.9K
- PELICANS
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BRUTE
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.00Mar 25, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Kings (-2.5)$33.33Mar 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.74Mar 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kings (-2.5)$19.00Feb 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pelicans (-4.5)$20.00Feb 4, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.05Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.67Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Rockets$11.63Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Knicks$12.24Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Cavaliers$13.16Feb 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Knicks$10.28Jan 27, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Rockets$10.00Jan 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Cavaliers$10.00Jan 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 27, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?$5.00Jan 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)$5.00Jan 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-4.5)$5.7KJan 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-4.5)$5.2KJan 2, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $773.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".