Cloudy-Hatchling
0x2874e6386e969adf365f85e56de4ff6a5379d925
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.44
Total PnL
$-9.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 22?
4720 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.72
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 10, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$0.00Dec 10, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Dec 10, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.00Dec 4, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.91Dec 4, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.02Dec 4, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$14.09Dec 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.91Nov 29, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$4.91Nov 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$17.56Nov 26, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.33Nov 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.01Nov 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.75Nov 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.57Nov 26, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.02Nov 26, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 15?$2.01Nov 26, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.11Nov 26, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $365.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".