Original-Extension
0x2878c4483c2eae9b8bdc19dedd32aa834b25ce45
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-703.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
919 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
820 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
712 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
658 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
506 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump win 5 swing states?
401 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
379 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $0.85Nov 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$557.60Nov 6, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$132.73Nov 6, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $694.98Nov 6, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$25.00Nov 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$247.89Nov 6, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win white women?$100.00Nov 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$20.00Nov 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$3.00Nov 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$25.00Nov 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $200.00Nov 5, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA $20.00Nov 5, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PA $10.00Nov 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$40.00Nov 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$20.00Nov 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$50.00Nov 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$100.00Nov 5, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $91.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".