Ultimate-Mare
0x2881f8decfc69385aae66e323e121c618f5e7c90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-128.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
211 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
121 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
80 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?$99.49Dec 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?$100.00Dec 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?$3.00Dec 11, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$150.00Dec 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.84Dec 10, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$146.40Dec 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 14?$10.05Nov 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Predators$15.00Nov 14, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 13?$110.00Nov 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 13?$98.00Nov 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 13?$146.67Nov 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 13?$150.00Nov 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 13?$4.80Nov 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 13?$5.20Nov 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Canadiens$10.00Nov 13, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMBuffalo vs. Central Michigan$18.18Nov 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Nov 13, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuffalo vs. Central Michigan$10.00Nov 12, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)$150.00Nov 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)$141.00Nov 12, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $30.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.