Frightened-Trim
0x2896cff3cf30666ec0b0e4da7da289c6f7ddbc73
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$194.87
Total PnL
$2.86
Realised
$34.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
194 shares @ 20.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$194.06
$154.06
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.80
$-0.23
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
2024 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
1007 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-14.55
- NO
Will Sleigh Ride - The Ronettes be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?
592 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.51
- YES
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
254 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.67
- YES
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?
175 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-56.80
- YES
Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
156 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
80 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sleigh Ride - The Ronettes be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?$26.51Dec 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$6.00Dec 20, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$12.50Dec 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$6.30Dec 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$9.50Dec 20, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$5.00Dec 20, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 19?$5.00Dec 20, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$9.00Dec 20, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$15.00Dec 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$10.00Dec 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$20.00Dec 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$53.25Dec 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 19?$4.25Dec 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?$10.00Dec 19, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$20.00Dec 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$33.64Dec 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.60Dec 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.40Dec 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$20.00Dec 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.34Dec 18, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.