Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$46.89

Total PnL

$-210.44

Realised

$-26.64

Win rate

25%

8 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
31 shares @ 56.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$30.89
$13.49
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
16 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$16.00
$6.56
YES
Will Aurora make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
62 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-24.14
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
56 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026
$0.00
$-29.20
YES
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
46 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-1.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026
$0.00
$-19.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-17.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
35 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-17.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
34 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-17.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
33 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026
$0.00
$-17.37

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$16.25May 18, 14:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00May 18, 13:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$10.02May 18, 13:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00May 18, 13:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$9.87May 18, 13:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.03May 18, 13:35 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$19.52May 18, 13:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.10May 18, 13:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$19.76May 18, 13:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.23May 18, 12:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$21.93May 18, 12:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$19.80May 18, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.25May 18, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.25May 18, 12:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$21.02May 18, 12:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.25May 18, 12:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 12:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.00May 18, 12:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.29May 18, 12:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$10.32May 18, 11:50 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence27 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry94 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk65 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 25
Avg trade size: $10.07
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 18, 05:01 UTC
Last active: May 18, 14:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 8 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 01:07:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data