Arctic-Simplicity
0x289fd3dd5b18603fd6fb7bb4a452c21c41f4067b
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-226.35
Realised
$-30.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
913 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?
307 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?
88 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?$50.00Oct 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$50.00Sep 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$80.48Sep 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$5.00Sep 2, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$50.00Aug 31, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$50.00Aug 30, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$60.83Aug 30, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?$41.00Aug 30, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $48.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".