Outlying-Till
0x28a546cef329e1a58cb1babbd303c509197db0ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.92
Realised
$7.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO CHANGE
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
410 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
170 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
130 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 30?
110 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 2?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Feb 15, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$3.10Feb 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.10Feb 14, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.10Feb 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.60Feb 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$4.61Feb 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.50Feb 2, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.25Feb 2, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$2.37Feb 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.25Feb 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.50Feb 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.50Feb 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.25Feb 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.26Feb 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.50Feb 2, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.40Dec 2, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 2, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".