Practical-Temptation
0x28a871a2be4d2aa7a8332ef56d52e0eac8a27811
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.56
Total PnL
$-24.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?
9 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$8.56
$1.67
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?
31 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.24
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
8 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.21
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.67
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.33Jul 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.21Jul 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$1.06Jul 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?$3.68Jun 29, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?$3.21Jun 28, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 10, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.45Jun 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.67Jun 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.79Jun 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?$16.24May 8, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?$11.05Feb 6, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$21.89Feb 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?$11.04Jan 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$21.63Jan 30, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.28Jan 21, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$11.87Jan 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.17Jan 18, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$11.80Jan 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.55Jan 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch in 2024?$1.12Jan 2, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.