Super-Arena
0x28ab2147f54270b141e6a0fc9c90043ded572048
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$832.09
Total PnL
$-23.2K
Realised
$-31.95
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
498 shares @ 42.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.52
$79.13
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
241 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$240.39
$40.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?
107 shares @ 42.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.42
$-6.44
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
91 shares @ 27.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.69
$12.66
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
205 shares @ 19.4¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.94
$-2.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 35.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.82
$-7.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?
217 shares @ 20.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.78
$-9.45
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by June 30, 2026?
96 shares @ 47.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.14
$-14.12
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?
138 shares @ 29.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.85
$-13.70
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
143 shares @ 48.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$-44.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$0.38Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$4.95Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$3.00Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on June 30?$0.46Jun 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$5.04Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$1.70Jun 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.00Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$6.16Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$8.51Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$2.96Jun 13, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.61Jun 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$5.00Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$5.00Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$0.05Jun 12, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?$7.14Jun 12, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$6.09Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?$0.35Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?$3.90Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?$0.71Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$4.93Jun 12, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.