Imaginative-Balalaika
0x28ab9184d0af4876159d115fc9d8cbc38e7652f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2900 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-92.40
- NO
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
977 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-967.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
351 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-298.55
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
350 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-273.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
329 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-299.39
- NO
North Korea missile launch by December 31?
211 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$967.41May 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?$108.70May 15, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$230.58May 15, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$529.06May 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.32May 15, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$200.25May 15, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Leave China on May 15?$399.88May 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 15?$393.30May 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$201.06May 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$300.84May 14, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$851.92May 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$801.95May 2, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.84Mar 3, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$508.95Feb 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$200.00Feb 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$515.74Feb 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$561.45Feb 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$500.00Feb 7, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$208.43Feb 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$724.01Jan 28, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $306.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.