Spanish-Destroyer
0x28acbfb2035c3b6a0aee9032d30f0c81bc67a5ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$118.47
Total PnL
$-643.67
Realised
$2.12
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 19.7¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$52.49
$23.49
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
60 shares @ 18.3¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.49
$-8.51
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$-8.06
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
1031 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCary: Timo Legout vs Edward Winter$18.18Jul 5, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCary: Timo Legout vs Edward Winter$10.13Jul 5, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ assists$0.00Jul 4, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$9.80Jul 4, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 4, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ assists$0.00Jul 4, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$6.15Jul 4, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$47.41Jul 4, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$54.79Jul 4, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$3.00Jul 4, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?$3.99Jul 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$5.06Jul 4, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score$14.25Jul 4, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$25.32Jul 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBrahim Díaz: 1+ assists$44.98Jul 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsmael Saibari: 1+ goals$10.19Jul 4, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJonathan David: 1+ goals$10.24Jul 4, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrahim Díaz: 1+ assists$10.23Jul 4, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$20.13Jul 4, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.