Brisk-Hacksaw
0x28b397ff9c7b42611bed6845854fb1d7797d7af3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$292.71
Total PnL
$-318.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 29?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.95
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 30?
83 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$83.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 29?
60 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$59.67
$0.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 29?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$49.98
$0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 23?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 16?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 7?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 27?
300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 4?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on July 30?$19.40Jul 28, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 30?$39.60Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 29?$5.40Jul 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on July 30?$19.64Jul 28, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 29?$19.60Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$0.86Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 28?$60.00Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 28?$20.00Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on July 29?$9.60Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 28?$8.73Jul 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 29?$19.20Jul 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 28?$7.89Jul 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on July 30?$9.50Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 30?$19.60Jul 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 29?$14.54Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 29?$39.62Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?$1.76Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?$2.26Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 29?$19.81Jul 28, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.