0x28b4cd82652e8cda5462c67c2667d6237423cd31
0x28b4cd82652e8cda5462c67c2667d6237423cd31
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.20
Total PnL
$-2.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 17 2026?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.77
$-1.23
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.13
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$2.08Aug 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 17 2026?$2.04Aug 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?$2.03Aug 16, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2.53Aug 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.03Aug 16, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$8.00Aug 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$2.07Aug 15, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.02Aug 15, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$5.13Aug 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$2.05Aug 13, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.85Aug 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.08Aug 12, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$0.00Aug 12, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?$0.00Aug 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$2.05Aug 12, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?$3.03Aug 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?$2.00Aug 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$2.07Aug 8, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.56Aug 7, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.