Lawful-Platinum
0x28bb68dda06c356b7a51ee7352ecd13147c27291
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-483.37
Realised
$-69.11
Win rate
11%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?
1396 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on March 2?
1092 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on February 26?
974 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 26?
919 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on March 2?
903 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 27?
781 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?
758 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 2?
695 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on March 8?
552 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?
545 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-38.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?$43.98Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?$244.00Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on March 7?$0.97Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 6?$7.00Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on March 8?$26.00Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 6?$33.50Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?$43.00Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 6?$54.00Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 7?$102.98Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 7?$136.00Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on March 7?$227.98Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 6?$239.96Mar 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 8?$0.01Mar 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?$0.04Mar 9, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?$0.31Mar 9, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 8?$0.01Mar 8, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?$3.50Mar 8, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 8?$2.53Mar 8, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 8?$1.10Mar 8, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?$3.15Mar 8, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
46 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.