Wry-Service-Sunlight
0x28c1173aaa9477cf21661d63f4ddaabe7168dc27
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$25.64
Total PnL
$-39.56
Realised
$-2.45
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
54 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$9.92
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 19?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$9.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 18?
19 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.98
$0.58
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 24?
32 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
15 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 15, 5PM ET
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
11 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 15?
6 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?
5 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?$8.28Aug 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?$4.30Aug 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?$5.57Aug 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?$5.66Aug 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 18?$5.59Aug 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?$3.81Aug 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?$5.62Aug 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 19?$10.40Aug 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 17?$11.38Aug 17, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?$8.72Aug 17, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?$13.01Aug 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?$10.13Aug 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 17?$10.06Aug 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?$10.02Aug 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?$1.75Aug 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.05Aug 5, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11PM ET$0.00Aug 4, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 2?$2.50Aug 1, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 2?$5.65Jul 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 1?$5.72Jul 31, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.