Right-Expectancy
0x28c76082387c16bedb6a5190fc7abab8cf29603d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$142.42
Total PnL
$0.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 29?
46 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$46.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
41 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$41.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 15?
33 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$33.07
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 29?$46.00May 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$41.00Apr 19, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 15?$33.00Apr 13, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$23.02Apr 6, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$20.08Apr 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$23.00Apr 1, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$38.04Mar 31, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$38.00Mar 26, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 23?$46.05Mar 23, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 23?$46.00Mar 22, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 16?$44.04Mar 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 16?$44.00Mar 15, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 14?$52.53Mar 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 14?$52.00Mar 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$20.00Mar 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.00Mar 8, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $859.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".