Metallic-Noodles
0x28c8d3f3918e2656488aea0a32d622911e06c0b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-673.31
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 27?
11826 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-619.27
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
5309 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
627 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-215.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
351 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-136.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
206 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-113.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
197 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-97.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
72 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-33.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
10 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$7.78Apr 16, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$7.79Apr 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$4.58Apr 15, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.73Apr 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$50.00Apr 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$52.85Apr 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.24Apr 14, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$1.24Apr 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$67.99Apr 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$39.80Apr 13, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.13Apr 9, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.00Apr 9, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.01Apr 9, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.00Apr 9, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$23.35Apr 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$5.04Apr 9, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $30.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.