0x28dddb7f523b97eedeacf75ebac7293178f3d936
0x28dddb7f523b97eedeacf75ebac7293178f3d936
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$10.35
Total PnL
$-901.20
Realised
$-41.75
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
738 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$7.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
392 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1936 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1403 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
1397 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1154 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1061 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
813 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- SWITZERLAND
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland
706 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$255.06Feb 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$120.00Feb 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finland$15.00Feb 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$10.00Feb 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.31Feb 20, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?$30.44Feb 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$138.00Feb 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$121.77Feb 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$45.00Feb 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$158.00Feb 18, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$157.52Feb 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia$13.00Feb 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark$10.00Feb 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$2.00Feb 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Canada vs. France$2.00Feb 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$18.15Feb 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$41.85Feb 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$20.00Feb 15, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.