Focused-Legislator
0x28e7c608b202eb29149654712039dc34114fc0c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$10.23
Total PnL
$-496.90
Realised
$-12.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$5.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will anyone say "Weather" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.26
$2.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- JAZZ
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SENATORS
Senators vs. Predators
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.94
- NO
Will anyone say "Weather" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.61Jul 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Weather" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$10.40Jul 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Weather" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$2.00Jul 3, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$6.02Jul 3, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.06Jun 12, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.19Jun 12, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.44Jun 9, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.25May 17, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.21May 17, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.08May 4, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$7.92May 4, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00May 4, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$19.95May 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.99May 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.30May 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.70May 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.20May 3, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.00May 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$16.58May 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$9.86May 3, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.