Famous-Lifetime
0x28e8a643996536760758f2f5a334ae5b0ad20acf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-703.79
Realised
$37.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
390 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- NO
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?
178 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
139 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5?
117 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-53.68
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?
109 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
101 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.12
- NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
100 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$236.79May 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$233.57May 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$191.55May 6, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$26.44May 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$50.09May 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$61.61May 6, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$41.64May 6, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$2.04May 6, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$1.00May 6, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$8.00May 6, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$12.00May 6, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$4.00May 6, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?$26.03May 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?$5.34May 6, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$2.00May 6, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$5.00May 6, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?$4.00May 6, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$3.00May 6, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?$1.40May 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$20.00May 6, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $28.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.