0x28ef41c89af459aa8ea6de28b6f788af9af74e9c
0x28ef41c89af459aa8ea6de28b6f788af9af74e9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$55.22
Total PnL
$-29.47
Realised
$11.68
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$15.00
$7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$15.00
$7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$8.00
$4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.22
$2.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$3.00
$1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 05:52 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.22Feb 24, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.22Feb 24, 05:47 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 05:45 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.22Feb 24, 05:35 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 05:32 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?$0.00Feb 21, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wednesday speech?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during DNC speech?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" at his press conference?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Solana" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?$0.00Feb 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Reserve" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?$0.00Feb 21, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Memecoin" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?$0.00Feb 21, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.