Mortified-Grove
0x28f0384517501c11b7b9e9402a099d3e15586832
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$140.22
Total PnL
$-38.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of March?
140 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$140.22
$0.36
- YES
Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
271 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
200 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
172 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
160 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?
144 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
141 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
135 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
131 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$4.08Apr 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.76Apr 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of March?$139.86Mar 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.76Mar 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.08Mar 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.09Mar 23, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of November?$140.42Dec 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$13.40Dec 7, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of November?$139.86Nov 26, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 17?$150.00Nov 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 17?$149.85Nov 15, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$49.60Nov 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16.86Nov 5, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32.74Nov 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$407.13Oct 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$407.54Oct 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$41.19Aug 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$33.26Aug 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$1.30Aug 4, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $202.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".