0x28f33612d3257d19b0572a03e0b7a7cbc606af5e
0x28f33612d3257d19b0572a03e0b7a7cbc606af5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$270.63
Total PnL
$-641.57
Realised
$3.20
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.84
$4.85
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 96.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$94.75
$-2.05
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
50 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.38
$1.23
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
20 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.39
$0.09
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.61
$2.14
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$-15.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?
2200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 24?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 30?$91.00Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?$145.00Jun 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?$111.80Jun 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 30?$82.47Jun 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.13Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.05Jun 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.01Jun 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?$0.10Jun 30, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?$109.00Jun 29, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.