Remorseful-Mention
0x28f5915652161d279fa04c090cec4c25ca5ddbe4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-372.48
Realised
$12.55
Win rate
76%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 12?
1016 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?
203 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-98.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 22?
101 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
96 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
82 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
73 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
66 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
64 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
61 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
57 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?$3.50Jun 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?$3.25Jun 21, 20:03 UTC
- REWARD$10.47Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?$1.11Jun 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?$0.22Jun 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?$6.17Jun 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?$0.41Jun 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 16?$1.19Jun 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?$6.50Jun 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 16?$8.50Jun 16, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?$0.82Jun 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?$5.68Jun 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?$1.99Jun 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?$3.84Jun 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?$1.80Jun 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?$1.38Jun 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?$0.70Jun 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?$5.93Jun 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?$5.33Jun 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?$1.90Jun 16, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.