Verifiable-Comb
0x28fc54efdb8579645a53a0677d6f7be707ff3eb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$46.78
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
748 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-69.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
540 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
534 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
442 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
361 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-44.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
358 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
343 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
312 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-149.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$11.11Jun 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$26.11Jun 14, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.29Jun 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.21Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$35.43Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$40.19Jun 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$6.82Jun 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.10Jun 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$35.36Jun 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$38.37Jun 14, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.01Jun 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$35.91Jun 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.14Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.14Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.13Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.13Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.62Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$14.84Jun 14, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$3.13Jun 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$3.12Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.