Paltry-Garlic
0x290ee82d904b09032217a5753f328d396f3a0783
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$73.64
Total PnL
$-401.69
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.51
$2.47
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.70
$0.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.52
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.22
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 24?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.17
$0.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.11
$0.15
- YES
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$5.11
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.10
$0.07
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.03
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.02
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?$5.52Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$2.90Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$2.13Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?$4.28Jul 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 24?$5.19Jul 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?$5.21Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$5.15Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 23?$4.60Jul 22, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?$7.73Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$5.05Jul 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$4.01Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$5.04Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$4.73Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$5.06Jul 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 24?$4.93Jul 22, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?$5.39Jul 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?$5.14Jul 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?$1.47Jul 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 24?$5.14Jul 22, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 23?$1.06Jul 22, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.