Elastic-Basin
0x291a930aa17f16316b7fee17146266ddf98cca66
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$65.87
Total PnL
$0.75
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$11.02
$0.02
- NO
Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will another party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$4.50
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$4.47
$0.07
- NO
Will the People's Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$4.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$3.35
$0.05
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$3.03
$0.00
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?$2.20Apr 5, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.20Apr 5, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.20Apr 5, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?$19.70Apr 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Assists?$19.98Apr 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?$24.98Apr 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?$3.00Apr 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$1.20Apr 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.20Apr 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?$2.50Apr 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?$6.00Apr 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?$11.00Apr 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?$16.74Apr 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden?$3.00Apr 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$4.50Apr 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$4.30Apr 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$4.40Apr 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$3.00Apr 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?$2.40Apr 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$3.30Apr 2, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $50.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".