Puzzling-Composition
0x291b6e9c42a6207fef4ecb9883e44326e520e36c
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-56.37
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 1?
10096 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2581 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 27?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
1250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $10.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.