Unkempt-Leopard
0x291d4e2a3662bfd36a52baba9582519980418e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-344.46
Realised
$-4.82
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 12?
740 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 12?
740 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 13?
374 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
348 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
348 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
348 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
260 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
208 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 29?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Jul 8, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.08Jul 8, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.13Jul 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.08Jul 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.01Jul 8, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Jul 7, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$4.72Jul 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.18Jul 7, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.72Jul 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 8?$0.16Jul 7, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.43Jul 7, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?$1.72Jul 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 8?$0.19Jul 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?$1.26Jul 6, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?$1.07Jul 6, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?$1.47Jul 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?$1.24Jul 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 8?$0.46Jul 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 8?$0.31Jul 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 8?$0.02Jul 6, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.