Best-Radish
0x2924d14ef7fb302d7d520c2394310409fce5dcde
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-334.82
Realised
$-644.57
Win rate
25%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- NO
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?
1041 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.0K
$7.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
2186 shares @ 3.8¢·now 44.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$976.06
$891.98
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
800 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$744.00
$24.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
720 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$714.83
$6.39
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
608 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$595.18
$9.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
2186 shares @ 3.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$557.44
$473.36
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
547 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$542.90
$4.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$499.99
$480.38
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
494 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$486.30
$4.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
2155 shares @ 4.8¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$447.23
$344.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?$4.91Jul 29, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$1.0KJul 29, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?$7.71Jul 29, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?$5.02Jul 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$3.75Jul 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.52Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$3.80Jul 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$6.87Jul 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$143.28Jul 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$396.58Jul 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$559.45Jul 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$10.66Jul 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.15Jul 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.20Jul 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$1.71Jul 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$216.84Jul 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$227.04Jul 29, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.17Jul 29, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$236.88Jul 29, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?$6.51Jul 29, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
55 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $120.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.