Warm-Hop
0x29282dffa928ad56471862920abdc117dcd42682
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-169.95
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.60
- YES
OpenAI browser by October 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$2.90
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-81.30
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-87.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$81.30Feb 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$87.00Feb 4, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$9.40Oct 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$9.40Oct 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$5.05Oct 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?$0.80Oct 20, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$9.40Oct 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$2.10Oct 20, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?$4.40Oct 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$4.00Oct 19, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$1.00Oct 19, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.97Oct 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$0.98Oct 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 14, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $14.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".