Entire-Command
0x29318997495499d498cf56d7f71f67d62a197f2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$28.52
Total PnL
$-0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.22
$18.22
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
35 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?$4.00Jan 5, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela become 51st state?$1.00Jan 5, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.05Jan 5, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?$13.33Jan 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 3, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 30?$11.90Nov 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$8.00Oct 30, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 30?$10.00Oct 30, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$18.52Oct 30, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?$19.23Oct 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?$10.00Oct 25, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?$15.00Oct 25, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$15.00Oct 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?$20.38Oct 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?$10.00Oct 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$19.00Oct 15, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.